Staff Reporter :
Research organization Innovation has conducted a survey on the 13th National Parliamentary Election. The survey shows that 41.30 percent support BNP, 18.80 percent support Awami League, 30.30 percent support Jamaat, and 4.1 percent of people want to vote for NCP.”
The survey suggests that the BNP would secure the largest share of voter support in six of the country’s eight divisions if national elections were held today, while Jamaat-e-Islami leads in Rangpur.
The findings were unveiled on Wednesday at the National Archives auditorium in Dhaka during the release of the second phase of the second round of the “People’s Election Pulse Survey.”
The study was conducted by Innovision Consulting, with support from the civic platform Voice for Reform and the Bangladesh Research and Analysis and Information Network (BRAIN).
Presenting the results, Innovision Consulting Managing Director Rubaiyat Sarwar said that among 10,413 respondents, 4,721 identified a preferred political party. BNP led in Dhaka (40.8 percent), Mymensingh (45.7 percent), Sylhet (44.7 percent), Khulna (43.3 percent), Chattogram (41.9 percent), and Rajshahi (44.4 percent). Jamaat topped the Rangpur division with 43.4 percent of support.
The survey showed nuanced patterns in voter behavior. BNP’s support base tends to rise with age, while Jamaat’s declines. Conversely, Jamaat’s popularity increases with education levels, while BNP’s falls. Jamaat also enjoys stronger backing among Generation-Z voters and women.
When asked which party they considered most capable of forming the next government, 39.1 percent of respondents named BNP, compared with 28.1 percent for Jamaat and 4.9 percent for the National Citizen Party (NCP).
Respondents also evaluated satisfaction with local-level political activities. Jamaat ranked highest, with 47.4 percent saying they were completely, very, or somewhat satisfied. NCP followed with 40.7 percent satisfied, while BNP drew positive responses from 39.4 percent.
The survey further explored reasons some voters might refrain from casting ballots. The top concern, cited by 32.65 percent, was security. Another 20.41 percent expressed distrust in mainstream political parties, while 20.15 percent doubted whether their preferred party would contest the election.
Organizers said the survey aimed to capture shifting political sentiments ahead of the general election scheduled for February.
